Carl Sera

Recent Posts

Which Political Party is Better for the Stock Market? Democrats or Republicans?

Posted by Carl Sera on Apr 8, 2016 10:50:32 AM

Presidential Analysis

The November Presidential election will be one of firsts.  Should Hillary Clinton win she would become our first female President.  If Bernie Sanders were to win, he would be our first Socialist President.  If Donald Trump were to win, we would have our first Billionaire President and if Ted Cruz were to win, we would have our first President with Cuban heritage.  This leaves John Kasich as the only candidate that would not be one of firsts. 

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Topics: Stock market, politics

Retirement Planning: Target Dated Funds vs. Passive Index Funds

Posted by Carl Sera on Feb 22, 2016 9:23:22 AM

In addition to Target Dated Funds, many investors buy passive index funds for their 401k, 403b and IRA retirement plans.  They do this systematically out of every paycheck.  They have recently seen the three major indices fall by over 10% and many are asking what they should do during this market correction.  Many are asking questions such as which index will lose the least on the way down should the trend down continue and which ones will rally first if the trend reverses.

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Topics: Retirement Tales

Investment Strategy: INDICES Up vs. Down Markets

Posted by Carl Sera on Jan 27, 2016 2:58:29 PM

In addition to Target Dated Funds, many investors buy passive index funds for their 401k, 403b and IRA retirement plans.  They do this systematically out of every paycheck.  They have recently seen the three major indices fall by over 10 percent, leaving many to wonder what they should do during this market correction. 

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Topics: Articles, Stock market

Is Stock Market Volatility Here to Stay?

Posted by Carl Sera on Jan 15, 2016 3:07:41 PM
Is stock market volatility here to stay?  The answer is yes - absolutely yes.  You see, volatility is just a fancy term for uncertainty, and uncertainty will always be with us.  If the question were rephrased to say is high volatility here to stay then the answer is no - absolutely no.

Why is this? Stock market volatility, as measured by the VIX, is a mean reverting measure, which means that what goes up must come down, and what goes down must come up.  So with recent volatility levels in the mid-20’s, and the historical average volatility around 18, you can expect a drop.  When it will drop is anyone’s guess. 

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Topics: Articles, Stock market

The Importance Of Technical Analysis: "Why I Became A Chartered Market Technician"

Posted by Carl Sera on Dec 16, 2015 2:36:38 PM
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Topics: Articles, Stock market

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